What will be the major political reaction of the Islamic Republic following the victory or defeat in tonight’s game?

Abdollah Abdi - Abdi Media

In Iran’s polarized society, where the national team does not have visible support from a significant portion of the public, and with an atmosphere filled with anxiety, hope, and anticipation, tonight’s football match between Iran and the United States is extremely important. Beyond its significance for the people of Iran, sports enthusiasts, and media professionals, it is also of special concern to political and security leaders. This sensitivity has increased significantly following the game against Wales and the victory over them, to the extent that it has even elicited congratulations in the speech of the Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic.

Particularly, those who design security puzzles and psychological operations have placed significant bets on this game and its possible outcomes. They have also concentrated considerable and diverse resources on various aspects of the situation.

If the Iranian national team manages to win against the United States in any way tonight—though a draw would also be highly valuable—there is a hope that the political, security, and judicial environment within the country will not become more severe and harsh due to the pride in victory and public excitement, but rather that rationality and wisdom will prevail.

Whether we like it or not, tonight’s game against the United States is extremely crucial, not only from a sports perspective but also as a major element in managing the strategic psychological environment of the Islamic Republic, as evidenced by recent actions and developments.